Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 1613.494402 1764.352746 1917.981982 2085.860791 2263.866839 2446.710261 2648.439747
2025-03-23 1397.215181 1623.237654 1862.917316 2134.875948 2433.757735 2751.116698 3112.452013
2025-03-30 1243.323009 1511.837948 1805.249152 2147.336097 2532.868170 2951.649992 3438.630377
2025-04-06 1120.847835 1418.229862 1751.694446 2149.479942 2607.204856 3113.668142 3712.617131
2025-04-13 981.328711 1291.505912 1648.216068 2083.164894 2593.547128 3168.016388 3857.932121
2025-04-20 937.314417 1272.241778 1665.045174 2152.088599 2732.074350 3393.223710 4196.256523
2025-04-27 882.921781 1235.317931 1656.580773 2187.371531 2828.331196 3567.729063 4475.267713
2025-05-04 816.891977 1178.936841 1620.194719 2185.173591 2876.869988 3684.113847 4685.026122
2025-05-11 751.806138 1119.215018 1575.691718 2169.398469 2905.990169 3775.221579 4863.400365
2025-05-18 706.962320 1082.607235 1557.469467 2183.771856 2969.942571 3906.696888 5089.191749
2025-05-25 655.551404 1033.999561 1521.080459 2172.751074 3000.515919 3996.459556 5264.130346
2025-06-01 626.274470 1013.356298 1519.274450 2204.385398 3083.306061 4149.367265 5515.594053
2025-06-08 576.735691 962.699195 1476.630066 2182.720670 3099.249392 4221.499676 5671.239715
2025-06-15 557.883793 954.099531 1489.326095 2232.837136 3206.548132 4407.321396 5967.748087
2025-06-22 527.178142 926.552842 1474.787803 2245.717543 3265.208797 4532.200754 6189.306269
2025-06-29 495.177344 895.155708 1453.313093 2247.929588 3309.031857 4637.915037 6387.053847
2025-07-06 442.525496 829.706247 1381.521020 2179.472273 3258.125624 4621.971551 6431.292319
2025-07-13 437.592778 836.698200 1411.933909 2250.622141 3391.596806 4841.413788 6772.596828
2025-07-20 422.432379 826.822114 1417.487512 2287.036493 3478.837706 5001.989549 7040.392672
2025-07-27 396.951091 799.133728 1395.995501 2284.768229 3513.610864 5094.694848 7222.182177
2025-08-03 369.289325 766.262059 1365.451575 2268.487768 3528.489606 5161.000578 7370.061218
2025-08-10 351.791883 749.044305 1357.314754 2283.321635 3585.204467 5281.716267 7588.008365
2025-08-17 328.649008 720.960942 1331.619290 2271.947861 3605.291212 5354.027902 7743.579018